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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 40% (3396–5150, n=8546) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$465K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #275 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (26 of 34 open) | 69% (615 of 896 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=556 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 4% (won 35% of 170) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 5% (won 54% of 178) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Haradwaith |
|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $407K | Yes $361 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $76K | No $1.1K |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | No $373 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $90K | No $59 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | Yes $70 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | Yes $63 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $1.0K | No $176 |