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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankGC-Pndb1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)46% (1169–1346, n=2515)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL$9.4M-$4.9K$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #565PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)67% (49 of 73 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)—13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)—20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)—24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)—43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankGC-Pndb1
Jazz vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $70KPelicans $318—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $31KPelicans $505—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19KPelicans $31—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $765KNo $22—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $66Hawks $223—