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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1wowfarm
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)63% (993–578, n=1571)76% (4220–1368, n=5588)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.6M$4.8M$99K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #97PM monthly #538
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)75% (216 of 287 open)73% (53 of 73 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144Tennis −9 pts, n=87
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 5350 at avg 75¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)20% (won 2% of 1096)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)2% (won 33% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)4% (won 52% of 212)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)74% (won 97% of 3960)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1wowfarm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $337K—