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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1vtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)45% (549–663, n=1212)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)65% (876–462, n=1338)46% (262–310, n=572)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$4.2M$86K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #22PM monthly #11PM monthly #279
Sides with the consensus66% (25 of 38 open)68% (128 of 189 open)79% (19 of 24 open)77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%45% of 531 at avg 44¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 16% of 160)42% (won 3% of 223)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 40% of 253)17% (won 33% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 57% of 310)13% (won 78% of 69)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 544)28% (won 99% of 151)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1vtcchampion52
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
same side · consensus BetBoom Team
—Liquid $4—Liquid $553