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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1soared
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)63% (989–573, n=1562)100% (2–0, n=2)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$3.2M$65K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #91PM monthly #172
Sides with the consensus77% (27 of 35 open)72% (110 of 152 open)72% (54 of 75 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 2 at avg 69¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)0%
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)100% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1soared
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292KJaguars $288——
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $1.7KHeat $79——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407K—No $335K—