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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | UnreasonableAwareness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6563–6075, n=12638) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $3.2M | -$59K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #91 | was PM monthly #182 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (28 of 36 open) | 72% (102 of 142 open) | 72% (54 of 75 open) | 11% (1 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | UnreasonableAwareness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | Jaguars $288 | — | — |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $16K | — | — | Yes $620 |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Warriors $3.5K | Heat $79 | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |