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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1Tan4321
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)65% (902–484, n=1386)100% (3–0, n=3)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$4.8M$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #101PM monthly #969
Sides with the consensus68% (23 of 34 open)74% (141 of 191 open)70% (107 of 152 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 3 at avg 97¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)0%
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)100% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1Tan4321
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407K—No $335K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $278K—Yes $11K—