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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | livesportins | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6563–6075, n=12638) | 56% (9–7, n=16) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | -$2.5K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | was PM monthly #982 | PM monthly #91 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (26 of 34 open) | 69% (137 of 199 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 71% (54 of 76 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 56% of 16 at avg 48¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 69% (won 55% of 11) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 25% (won 75% of 4) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 0% | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | livesportins | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Warriors $1.7K | Heat $79 | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | — | No $335K |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $18 | No $24K |