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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorplaganzandb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)67% (2–1, n=3)63% (989–572, n=1561)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$17K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #22PM monthly #851PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus83% (25 of 30 open)80% (248 of 309 open)80% (8 of 10 open)72% (69 of 96 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1 at avg 10¢, ROI +90%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)100% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)0%20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)0%24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)0%43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorplaganzandb1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2——Yes $1.0M
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407K——No $335K