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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677tugator
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)45% (10–12, n=22)13% (32–224, n=256)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$5.3M$85K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #439
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)74% (174 of 236 open)no open consensus position88% (83 of 94 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Crypto −34 pts, n=189
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%27% of 227 at avg 56¢, ROI −28%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)4% (won 0% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)74% (won 10% of 167)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)5% (won 36% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)18% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.