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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677mbmbbbmbv
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)43% (10–13, n=23)44% (7–9, n=16)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$3.3M-$35K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #8PM monthly #540
Sides with the consensus78% (38 of 49 open)74% (154 of 209 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%54% of 13 at avg 57¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)15% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)62% (won 50% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)15% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677mbmbbbmbv
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $114KColts $170——