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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677Kunkun111
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (12–7, n=19)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$5.3M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #2was PM monthly #784
Sides with the consensus64% (18 of 28 open)76% (174 of 230 open)no open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%79% of 14 at avg 38¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)29% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)43% (won 67% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)21% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677Kunkun111
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $12K—Tereza Valentova $11K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Rinderknech
—Ben Shelton $2.7K—Arthur Rinderknech $2.8K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Sorana Cirstea $1.3K—Mary Stoiana $1.8K