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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (5570–5156, n=10726)35% (3641–6652, n=10293)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$557K$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #95PM monthly #558PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (25 of 30 open)74% (92 of 125 open)64% (23 of 36 open)64% (100 of 157 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Golf −2 pts, n=108——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 19% of 1341)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)35% (won 46% of 3607)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)35% (won 61% of 3523)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)17% (won 86% of 1699)—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSferrariChampions2026RN1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13K—No $19K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $22KNo $4.7K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15KYes $4.3K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $4.8K——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $11K——
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
—UTSA $6.0KFlorida Atlantic $113—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica
——Sport Lisboa e Benfica $4.0KKKS Lech Poznań $776
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.8KUnder $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.2KOver $1.6K
Charlottesville: Maks Kasnikowski vs Michael Antonius
opposite sides · consensus Maks Kasnikowski
——Maks Kasnikowski $1.8KMichael Antonius $948
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
opposite sides · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
——Elmer Moeller $32Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.1K
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Páfos FC
——FC Twente $413Páfos FC $46
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
——FK Kauno Žalgiris $75FC Lugano $299
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3Under $316
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407KNo $13K——
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympique de Marseille
——Bayer 04 Leverkusen $30KBayer 04 Leverkusen $352
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25KYes $3.3K——
Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $25K—Yes $1.7K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $844——
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
——Federico Coria $8.0KFederico Coria $5.5K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $324Under $12K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $5.5KBianca Andreescu $5.8K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.3KYes $5.3K——
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $7.3KHeat $304—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $4.7KUnder $127
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KOver $33
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $1.8K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3KYes $334——
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.0KYes $149——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $80Yes $1.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.2KOver $360
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27Yes $463——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $164Yes $56——