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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6048–5641, n=11689)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$1.1M$3.7M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #124PM monthly #13PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)76% (88 of 116 open)66% (193 of 291 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—MLB −1 pts, n=747Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10582 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 18% of 1390)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)36% (won 46% of 3763)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 61% of 3662)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)17% (won 86% of 1767)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpjoseph00677
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $280KNo $326——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $26KNo $4.8K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $16KYes $4.4K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $12KNo $4.8K——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $11K——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409KNo $14K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25KYes $3.3K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $811——
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.9KYes $7.8K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.5KYes $362——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $1.8K——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $80Yes $1.6K——
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3KYes $96——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27Yes $463——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $66Yes $22——