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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankByteBadger92e46m3juice-fruit
Record (consensus markets)95% (310–15, n=325)no settled market17% (156–789, n=945)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$8.4M—$536K$152K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #897PM monthly #2PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensus84% (32 of 38 open)100% (1 of 1 open)73% (322 of 440 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Crypto +45 pts n=124, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1174, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=146, ROI +19%
Weakest topic——NFL −6 pts, n=17—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%97% of 63 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—38% (won 18% of 2197)2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—7% (won 53% of 397)21% (won 92% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—9% (won 71% of 531)48% (won 97% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—46% (won 97% of 2679)30% (won 100% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankByteBadger92e46m3juice-fruit
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $425K—Yes $11—
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $28K—Yes $108—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $318—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $108—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $27K—Yes $10—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19K—Yes $369—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13K—Yes $12—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.6K—Yes $512—
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200—Yes $4—
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200—Yes $3—
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $49—Yes $40—