PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241sainttroplayomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (501–606, n=1107)56% (100–79, n=179)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)
Consensus PnL$12.1M$3.5M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #373was PM monthly #11PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensus73% (24 of 33 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position49% (21 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)0%8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 181)26% (won 93% of 29)50% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 85% of 2140)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 99% of 176)42% (won 96% of 47)50% (won 100% of 5)38% (won 94% of 3856)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 96% of 27)0%32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.