PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)45% (501–606, n=1107)56% (100–79, n=179)48% (11709–12487, n=24196)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$12.1M$3.5M$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #373Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus73% (24 of 33 open)no open consensus position68% (21 of 31 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 56% of 2460)0%
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 181)26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5335)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 99% of 176)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8653)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 96% of 27)31% (won 100% of 7361)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.