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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Better-Man | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 72% (308–121, n=429) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (14379–15895, n=30274) |
| Consensus PnL | $69K | $7.3M | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #633 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 97% (34 of 35 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (18 of 34 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=101 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 437 at avg 62¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 9% of 126) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 23% of 26) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 82% of 33) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 97% of 252) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Better-Man | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | Yes $75K | — | — |