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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bet1nthedark | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 91% (126–13, n=139) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) |
| Consensus PnL | -$18K | $11.2M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #146 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 74% (35 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 157 at avg 85¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 0% of 5) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 67% of 9) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 83% of 12) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 83% (won 97% of 131) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bet1nthedark | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $642K | No $234K |