Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Baddiejoseph00677ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)34% (284–559, n=843)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)
Consensus PnL$14K$5.3M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #866PM monthly #2PM monthly #97PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus68% (56 of 82 open)no open consensus position72% (59 of 82 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGolf ±0 pts, n=88—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won3% of 658 at avg 2¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢99% (won 3% of 654)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 100% of 2)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up0%18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBaddiejoseph00677ndb1primm
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $256—No $82K—
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $70—Yes $2.3K—