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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (332–71, n=403) | 65% (902–484, n=1386) |
| Consensus PnL | -$561K | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #444 | PM monthly #101 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 70% (107 of 152 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $121 | No $1.0M |