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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (267–299, n=566) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | -$6.7K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #104 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 72% (69 of 96 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 399 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 61% (won 83% of 245) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 96% of 26) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | Yes $1.0M |