← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:BreakTheBank0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph006770xfe78…0319primmFlaznorp
| Aurelius7 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (238–202, n=440) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.9K | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 57% (104 of 183 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 399 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 61% (won 83% of 245) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 96% of 26) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) same side · consensus Ball State | UMass $379 | — | UMass $1.0K |