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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (267–299, n=566) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (15433–15507, n=30940) | 47% (14055–15545, n=29600) |
| Consensus PnL | -$6.7K | $5.3M | $3.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #60 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (10 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (88 of 157 open) | 58% (19 of 33 open) |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 399 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 61% (won 83% of 245) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 96% of 26) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Over $1.5K |
| Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch | — | — | Remy Bertola $285 | Kilian Feldbausch $265 |
| Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej opposite sides · consensus Kasidit Samrej | — | — | Carl Overbeck $215 | Kasidit Samrej $161 |
| M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos opposite sides · consensus Melios Efstathiou | — | — | Pablo Perez Ramos $98 | Melios Efstathiou $227 |
| W75 Petange: Jessika Ponchet vs Veronika Podrez opposite sides · consensus Veronika Podrez | — | — | Veronika Podrez $76 | Jessika Ponchet $78 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Tommy Paul | — | — | Tommy Paul $137 | Tommy Paul $31K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $128 | — | Yes $2.3K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech same side · consensus Arthur Rinderknech | — | — | Arthur Rinderknech $11 | Arthur Rinderknech $1.3K |