← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (235–173, n=408) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 53% (5701–5137, n=10838) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2K | $11.2M | $3.3M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 70% (39 of 56 open) | 73% (147 of 202 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Culture −2 pts, n=23 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 386 at avg 49¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 64) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 41% of 61) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 61% (won 84% of 236) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 25) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | No $245K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $124 | No $7.6K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $18 | No $845 | — | — |