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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Artemiionjoseph00677RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)47% (164–188, n=352)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$77K$5.3M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #367PM monthly #2PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #73
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position66% (21 of 32 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won82% of 44 at avg 51¢, ROI +63%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 75% of 8)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 58% of 12)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 93% of 15)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 9)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.