PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousUsernamesainttroplayBreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (579–720, n=1299)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (516–628, n=1144)50% (13798–13934, n=27732)
Consensus PnL-$15K$4.4M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #23
Sides with the consensus78% (84 of 108 open)no open consensus position63% (26 of 41 open)46% (11 of 24 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 85% of 53)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 98% of 181)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)34% (won 99% of 176)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%20% (won 100% of 105)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAnonymousUsernamesainttroplayBreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $18K—Yes $37K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $241—No $40K—
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot
opposite sides · consensus Holger Rune
Valentin Vacherot $442——Holger Rune $15K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $591——No $9.9K
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $142——Yes $17
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.7K—Yes $286K—
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19K—Yes $70K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.3K—Yes $26K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $47—Yes $18K—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13K—Yes $4.8K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $972—Yes $1.5K—