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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AnonymousUsername | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (579–720, n=1299) | 48% (12314–13195, n=25509) | 45% (516–628, n=1144) | 62% (386–234, n=620) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #25 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #83 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (85 of 108 open) | 74% (25 of 34 open) | 63% (26 of 41 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2507) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 91% of 35) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5408) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 56% (won 99% of 214) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8790) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 34% (won 100% of 129) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7551) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AnonymousUsername | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $18K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $241 | — | No $38K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | — | Yes $286K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | — | Yes $70K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | Yes $26K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $47 | — | Yes $18K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | Yes $4.8K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $972 | — | Yes $1.5K | — |