PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousPerson0xb46ac9ec39dbb68d76ab82aa16ddae7c400717fcppku6298RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1–1, n=2)47% (39–44, n=83)49% (7375–7754, n=15129)
Consensus PnL—$149$52K$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #958Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position30% (3 of 10 open)71% (54 of 76 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +39 pts n=18, ROI +44%
  • NBA +28 pts n=30, ROI +20%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—50% of 2 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%81% of 57 at avg 49¢, ROI +26%93% of 19836 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—50% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 51% of 2050)
Entries 30–50¢—0%60% (won 76% of 34)22% (won 93% of 4398)
Entries 50–70¢—0%37% (won 86% of 21)37% (won 99% of 7331)
Entries 70¢ and up—50% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 1)31% (won 100% of 6057)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAnonymousPerson0xb46ac9ec39dbb68d76ab82aa16ddae7c400717fcppku6298RN1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus No
——No $7.5KNo $4.8K
Spread: Pacers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Nets
——Pacers $4.7KPacers $50
Spread: Pacers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
——Pacers $2.9KPacers $7