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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AllYouCanEatFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)80% (107–27, n=134)53% (5919–5290, n=11209)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (882–468, n=1350)
Consensus PnL-$4.0K$3.3M$5.6M$4.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #839PM monthly #21PM monthly #1PM monthly #143
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (173 of 247 open)no open consensus position78% (25 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEntertainment −3 pts, n=14Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won78% of 128 at avg 78¢, ROI +1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 10% of 29)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢0%16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 100% of 2)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 98% of 97)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.