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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Alegrandebigbeachboy4ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)93% (1486–115, n=1601)no settled market63% (993–578, n=1571)49% (1129–1155, n=2284)
Consensus PnL-$8.1K—$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #846—PM monthly #97PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus97% (32 of 33 open)no open consensus position70% (55 of 79 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicFinance −2 pts, n=112—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won94% of 1369 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 12% of 33)—13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 46% of 41)—19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 62% of 50)—23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up91% (won 99% of 1245)—44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlegrandebigbeachboy4ndb1primm
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $5—No $42K—
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $781—No $29K—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $495—Yes $525—