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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Alegrandebig | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 93% (1479–114, n=1593) | no settled market | 44% (574–717, n=1291) | 63% (991–574, n=1565) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.2K | — | $7.9M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #834 | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (27 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 70% (52 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | Finance −2 pts, n=113 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 1370 at avg 94¢, ROI 0% | — | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 12% of 33) | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 46% of 41) | — | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 50) | — | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 91% (won 99% of 1246) | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Alegrandebig | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $407K | No $335K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5 | — | — | No $42K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $781 | — | — | No $29K |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $495 | — | — | Yes $525 |