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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlegrandebigRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)91% (842–88, n=930)47% (14225–15839, n=30064)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$8.8K$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #748PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus97% (30 of 31 open)57% (39 of 68 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicWeather ±0 pts, n=570——
Settled positions, side won91% of 825 at avg 91¢, ROI 0%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 13% of 30)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 44% of 39)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 63% of 48)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up86% (won 99% of 708)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.