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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Ackbar | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (24–25, n=49) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | -$32K | $7.9M | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 81% (22 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (82 of 131 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 34 at avg 51¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 44% of 9) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 74% (won 60% of 25) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Ackbar | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Suns: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $4.8K | — | — | Under $423 |