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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AMike | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 80% (12–3, n=15) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.0K | $11.2M | $5.6M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #723 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #150 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (12 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (35 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +13% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 0% of 4) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 80% of 5) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 6) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AMike | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $642K | — | No $234K |