PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ABC12345654321UpTheBluesMEPPimnice
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (13315–14249, n=27564)65% (345–184, n=529)86% (63–10, n=73)
Consensus PnL—$1.4M$557K$4.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #497PM monthly #7was PM monthly #959 + pinnedwas PM monthly #900
Sides with the consensus37% (13 of 35 open)53% (9 of 17 open)79% (65 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +12 pts n=211, ROI +3%
  • F1 +20 pts n=18, ROI −18%
  • MLB +15 pts n=22, ROI −25%
  • MLB +59 pts n=851, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=58, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=33, ROI +64%
Weakest topic——Entertainment −18 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won74% of 291 at avg 61¢, ROI −15%100% of 27853 at avg 65¢, ROI +38%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%86% of 103 at avg 72¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 47% of 15)7% (won 99% of 1952)20% (won 14% of 151)17% (won 39% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 52% of 84)23% (won 100% of 6322)11% (won 34% of 82)9% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 75% of 107)25% (won 100% of 6857)19% (won 66% of 144)6% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 99% of 85)46% (won 100% of 12722)51% (won 93% of 390)68% (won 100% of 70)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketABC12345654321UpTheBluesMEPPimnice
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $99—Yes $7.0K—