Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
7ViziCapitaleBreakTheBanklava-lavandb1
Record (consensus markets)100% (2–0, n=2)97% (441–15, n=456)53% (149–134, n=283)57% (293–219, n=512)
Consensus PnL-$104$8.4M$1.1M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #970PM monthly #1PM monthly #108PM monthly #158
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)74% (35 of 47 open)63% (39 of 62 open)73% (65 of 89 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic——Finance −17 pts, n=11NFL −8 pts, n=71
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%49% of 276 at avg 45¢, ROI +2%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)34% (won 9% of 93)19% (won 10% of 96)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)23% (won 48% of 64)21% (won 35% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)20% (won 67% of 54)27% (won 54% of 132)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)24% (won 92% of 65)33% (won 91% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market7ViziCapitaleBreakTheBanklava-lavandb1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $28KYes $9.9K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $425K—No $350K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306K—Yes $12K
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $17K——Yes $228
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $49Yes $351—