← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 7ViziCapitale | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 97% (524–18, n=542) | 51% (210–202, n=412) | 59% (363–253, n=616) |
| Consensus PnL | -$97 | $8.5M | $1.2M | $883K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #976 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #227 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 80% (36 of 45 open) | 63% (38 of 60 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Finance −17 pts, n=11 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 49% of 276 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 9% of 93) | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 23% (won 48% of 64) | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 20% (won 67% of 54) | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 24% (won 92% of 65) | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 7ViziCapitale | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | Wiretransferxyz |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $31K | Yes $9.8K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $49 | Yes $351 | — |