← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 7ViziCapitale | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 97% (441–15, n=456) | 53% (149–134, n=283) | 92% (471–42, n=513) |
| Consensus PnL | -$104 | $8.4M | $1.1M | $1.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #976 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #110 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 76% (35 of 46 open) | 63% (39 of 62 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Finance −17 pts, n=11 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 49% of 276 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 9% of 93) | 5% (won 83% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 23% (won 48% of 64) | 36% (won 88% of 182) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 20% (won 67% of 54) | 44% (won 93% of 224) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 24% (won 92% of 65) | 16% (won 99% of 82) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 7ViziCapitale | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $28K | Yes $9.9K | — |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $10K | — | — | Yes $19K |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $49 | Yes $351 | — |