Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
739633786beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)88% (331–45, n=376)no settled market45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)
Consensus PnL-$121K—$7.9M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #975—PM monthly #3PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)70% (127 of 182 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=350, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +50 pts n=42, ROI +49%
not computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won98% of 401 at avg 49¢, ROI +47%—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 100% of 2)—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 97% of 213)—35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 98% of 186)—35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market739633786beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Thunder $55——Grizzlies $183
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Wizards $1.0K——Wizards $166