PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
56871beachboy4RN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market69% (43–19, n=62)48% (11699–12471, n=24170)50% (13183–13335, n=26518)
Consensus PnL—$5.8M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #850was PM monthly #24Hand-pickedPM monthly #15
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)69% (9 of 13 open)20% (1 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −4 pts, n=96——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10018 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2452)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5319)21% (won 85% of 2128)
Entries 50–70¢—55% (won 53% of 118)36% (won 99% of 8623)38% (won 94% of 3835)
Entries 70¢ and up—13% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7308)32% (won 99% of 3219)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market56871beachboy4RN1omnibus-076daa
Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Yulia Putintseva
——Yulia Putintseva $94KMaria Sakkari $737
Ningbo: Yaroslav Demin vs Carl Overbeck
opposite sides · consensus Carl Overbeck
——Carl Overbeck $2.3KYaroslav Demin $226