Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari

6 of 16 top Polymarket traders hold Maria Sakkari (38%) · Maria Sakkari at 52¢ · $57K held · ends Nov 3

Yulia Putintseva49¢Maria Sakkari51¢Ends Tue, Nov 3, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Maria Sakkari

Consensus Traders

Maria Sakkari 38%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$56.9K

Combined PnL

$-3.0K

Smart Money Entry

63.3¢ → 51.5¢

-19% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralMaria Sakkari at 52%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢0.50–0.70 lost −3.2 % a trade pooled (n 3,834).

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Maria Sakkari

6 of 16 top traders (38%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yulia Putintseva49%

Maria Sakkari52%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Maria Sakkari6 traders

Total Value$29.6K

Total Shares49,567

Combined PnL$-1.8K

Yulia Putintseva10 traders

Total Value$22.8K

Total Shares46,340

Combined PnL$-1.2K

Maria Sakkari — 38%Yulia Putintseva — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
KK Kkunn	Maria Sakkariavg 63.8¢	$29.8K	$28.0K	$-1.8K	44% 209-270 (479)
RN1CTR	Yulia Putintsevaavg 55.7¢	$13.1K	$11.5K	$-1.7K	54% 54957-46919 (101876)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	Yulia Putintsevaavg 63.6¢	$5.0K	$5.1K	+$144.99	54% 16560-13892 (30452)
UP UpTheBluesARB<$100	Yulia Putintsevaavg 56.4¢	$3.5K	$3.0K	-$433.71	59% 43578-30037 (73615)
└ Yulia Putintseva leg	Yulia Putintsevaavg 56.4¢	$2.6K	$2.3K	-$223.78
└ Maria Sakkari leg	Maria Sakkariavg 63.5¢	$890.87	$680.94	-$209.93
SA Salad1CTR	Yulia Putintsevaavg 38.9¢	$2.7K	$2.8K	+$41.31	49% 85-88 (173)
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100	Yulia Putintsevaavg 54.4¢	$1.6K	$1.5K	-$149.37	53% 559-502 (1061)
└ Yulia Putintseva leg	Yulia Putintsevaavg 54.4¢	$828.16	$753.44	-$74.73
└ Maria Sakkari leg	Maria Sakkariavg 55.4¢	$773.51	$705.42	-$74.64
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR	Yulia Putintsevaavg 44.8¢	$1.2K	$1.3K	+$96	51% 1154-1090 (2244)
tradecraftCTR	Yulia Putintsevaavg 36¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	-$15	52% 5787-5407 (11194)
CH chiefphi	Maria Sakkariavg 51.9¢	$1.0K	$1.0K	-$8.65	57% 80-61 (141)
VeryLucky888	Maria Sakkariavg 61¢	$633.19	$549.38	-$3.23	58% 39913-28822 (68735)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR	Yulia Putintsevaavg 37.8¢	$427.57	$434.96	+$7.39	52% 13438-12293 (25731)
TH thestingsnakeCTR	Yulia Putintsevaavg 34.6¢	$626.41	$403.27	+$203.48	60% 3868-2622 (6490)
0X 0x1111111111CTR	Yulia Putintsevaavg 54.7¢	$153.1	$144.2	-$8.9	62% 1682-1049 (2731)
LI LilybaeumCTR<$100	Yulia Putintsevaavg 37¢	$84.85	$90.59	+$5.73	62% 13564-8385 (21949)
EF efntrickARB<$100	Yulia Putintsevaavg 52.5¢	$60.65	$54.7	-$5.95	48% 3590-3842 (7432)
└ Yulia Putintseva leg	Yulia Putintsevaavg 52.5¢	$34.1	$31.53	-$2.58
└ Maria Sakkari leg	Maria Sakkariavg 59¢	$26.55	$23.18	-$3.38
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Yulia Putintsevaavg 38¢	$25.52	$26.52	+$1.01	57% 27306-20190 (47496)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Maria Sakkariavg 62¢	$10.96	$10.69	-$0.27	49% 18284-18729 (37013)
0xheavy888<$100	Maria Sakkariavg 61¢	$4.61	$4.58	-$0.04	56% 6781-5428 (12209)
HRTrading<$100	Maria Sakkariavg 60¢	$1.86	$1.61	-$0.25	54% 2345-1973 (4318)

Kkunn

Maria Sakkari

Invested

$29,767.3

Value

$28.0K

PnL

$-1.8K

Record

44%

209-270 (479)

RN1CTR

Yulia Putintseva

Invested

$13,142.9

Value

$11.5K

PnL

$-1.7K

Record

54%

54957-46919 (101876)

HomeRunHazardCTR

Yulia Putintseva

Invested

$4,969.64

Value

$5.1K

PnL

+$144.99

Record

54%

16560-13892 (30452)

UpTheBluesARB<$100

Yulia Putintseva

Invested

$3,453.89

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$433.71

Record

59%

43578-30037 (73615)

Both legs:

Yulia Putintseva$2,563.0256.4¢-$223.78

Maria Sakkari$890.8763.5¢-$209.93

Salad1CTR

Yulia Putintseva

Invested

$2,723.69

Value

$2.8K

PnL

+$41.31

Record

49%

85-88 (173)

1lovejumpARB<$100

Yulia Putintseva

Invested

$1,621.03

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$149.37

Record

53%

559-502 (1061)

Both legs:

Yulia Putintseva$828.1654.4¢-$74.73

Maria Sakkari$773.5155.4¢-$74.64

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR

Yulia Putintseva

Invested

$1,165

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$96

Record

51%

1154-1090 (2244)

tradecraftCTR

Yulia Putintseva

Invested

$1,080

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$15

Record

52%

5787-5407 (11194)

chiefphi

Maria Sakkari

Invested

$1,038.65

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$8.65

Record

57%

80-61 (141)

VeryLucky888

Maria Sakkari

Invested

$633.19

Value

$549.38

PnL

-$3.23

Record

58%

39913-28822 (68735)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR

Yulia Putintseva

Invested

$427.57

Value

$434.96

PnL

+$7.39

Record

52%

13438-12293 (25731)

thestingsnakeCTR

Yulia Putintseva

Invested

$626.41

Value

$403.27

PnL

+$203.48

Record

60%

3868-2622 (6490)

0x1111111111CTR

Yulia Putintseva

Invested

$153.1

Value

$144.2

PnL

-$8.9

Record

62%

1682-1049 (2731)

LilybaeumCTR<$100

Yulia Putintseva

Invested

$84.85

Value

$90.59

PnL

+$5.73

Record

62%

13564-8385 (21949)

efntrickARB<$100

Yulia Putintseva

Invested

$60.65

Value

$54.7

PnL

-$5.95

Record

48%

3590-3842 (7432)

Both legs:

Yulia Putintseva$34.152.5¢-$2.58

Maria Sakkari$26.5559¢-$3.38

LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100

Yulia Putintseva

Invested

$25.52

Value

$26.52

PnL

+$1.01

Record

57%

27306-20190 (47496)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Maria Sakkari

Invested

$10.96

Value

$10.69

PnL

-$0.27

Record

49%

18284-18729 (37013)

0xheavy888<$100

Maria Sakkari

Invested

$4.61

Value

$4.58

PnL

-$0.04

Record

56%

6781-5428 (12209)

HRTrading<$100

Maria Sakkari

Invested

$1.86

Value

$1.61

PnL

-$0.25

Record

54%

2345-1973 (4318)

Research grade

NeutralMaria Sakkari at 52%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢0.50–0.70 lost −3.2 % a trade pooled (n 3,834).

Smart Money Signal

Maria Sakkari

6 of 16 top traders (38%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Maria Sakkari wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance53.7%

51.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$86.06

Max Loss

-$100.00

186.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.