PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)98% (3208–82, n=3290)50% (13578–13703, n=27281)48% (12096–12925, n=25021)
Consensus PnL$34K$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #981PM monthly #15PM monthly #17 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position38% (6 of 16 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 59% of 860)10% (won 56% of 2478)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 86% of 2252)22% (won 94% of 5361)
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 94% of 4102)36% (won 99% of 8705)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 99% of 3425)31% (won 100% of 7425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market467j6yjomnibus-076daaRN1
Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez
opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
—Jil Teichmann $559Zeynep Sonmez $103K
Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova
opposite sides · consensus Mia Pohankova
—Naomi Osaka $3.4KMia Pohankova $37K
Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong
opposite sides · consensus Alibek Kachmazov
—Seong-Chan Hong $58Alibek Kachmazov $8.8K
Ningbo: Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney
opposite sides · consensus Yi Zhou
—Yi Zhou $88Jake Delaney $8