PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
467j6yjBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)98% (3255–83, n=3338)45% (516–628, n=1144)48% (12314–13192, n=25506)62% (386–233, n=619)
Consensus PnL$44K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #641PM monthly #1PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #78
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (25 of 39 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +2 pts n=10, ROI +3%
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −6 pts, n=13———
Settled positions, side won98% of 3253 at avg 97¢, ROI +1%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 0% of 7)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2507)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 36% of 14)35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5408)56% (won 99% of 214)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 59% of 29)34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8790)34% (won 100% of 129)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 99% of 3203)20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7551)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.