Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
319113331313111BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)95% (310–15, n=325)32% (12–26, n=38)no settled market
Consensus PnL$2.7K$8.4M-$22K$0
Tracked asPM monthly #967PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)84% (32 of 38 open)56% (5 of 9 open)74% (67 of 90 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won98% of 64 at avg 70¢, ROI −7%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 67% of 3)10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 100% of 4)36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 100% of 26)35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up48% (won 100% of 31)20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market319113331313111BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $425K—No $350K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306K—Yes $12K