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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 24Warrior | googleplay | ndb1 | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | no settled market | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $41K | $391K | — | $111K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #622 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #124 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1 at avg 68¢, ROI +32% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 5% (won 83% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 36% (won 88% of 182) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 44% (won 93% of 224) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 16% (won 99% of 82) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 24Warrior | googleplay | ndb1 | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $53K | — | Magic $76K |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) same side · consensus Knicks | — | Bucks $20K | — | Bucks $21K |