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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
24Warriordenizze46m3Wiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)70% (172–74, n=246)32% (520–1095, n=1615)59% (296–204, n=500)
Consensus PnL$41K$2.3M$536K$899K
Tracked asPM monthly #640PM monthly #154PM monthly #2PM monthly #230
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position89% (25 of 28 open)74% (324 of 439 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Politics −2 pts, n=16Tech ±0 pts, n=36—
Settled positions, side won—64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7%93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—26% (won 6% of 63)7% (won 11% of 46)6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢—12% (won 57% of 30)1% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 66% of 32)1% (won 75% of 8)47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up—49% (won 96% of 120)90% (won 100% of 565)13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market24Warriordenizze46m3Wiretransferxyz
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $7.3KYes $60—
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $32KYes $87—
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.2KYes $6—
Will Eli Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $414Yes $12—
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $49Yes $6—