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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
237492103894712349BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (37–22, n=59)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)
Consensus PnL$32K$8.4M-$9.5M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #940PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)88% (29 of 33 open)63% (5 of 8 open)54% (14 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won83% of 35 at avg 71¢, ROI +14%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 67% of 3)10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 67% of 6)36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 75% of 4)35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up63% (won 91% of 22)20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market237492103894712349BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.7K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
——James Duckworth $1.6KJames Duckworth $417
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
same side · consensus Alex Michelsen
——Yannick Hanfmann $144Yannick Hanfmann $885