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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
121212121212121212121212BreakTheBankjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)100% (2–0, n=2)61% (17–11, n=28)no settled market43% (165–222, n=387)
Consensus PnL$2.8K$786K—$42K
Tracked asPM monthly #555PM monthly #1PM monthly #6PM monthly #45
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus position55% (17 of 31 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)8% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)8% (won 0% of 1)42% (won 100% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 61)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)15% (won 100% of 2)12% (won 100% of 18)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market121212121212121212121212BreakTheBankjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $2.5K—Thunder $36K
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $41K—Trail Blazers $6.8K
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $12K—Trail Blazers $77