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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3667–6667, n=10334)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$5.3M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #121PM monthly #2PM monthly #98PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)no open consensus position73% (54 of 74 open)51% (77 of 152 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1RN1
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $55K——Over $43
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Spurs $7.7K——Kings $245
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.7K——Over $2.9K
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3.2K——Under $168
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud $1.6K——Nuno Borges $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.6K
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Celtics $2.2K——Hornets $365
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $2.0K——Wizards $116
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta
Facundo Acosta $1.8K——Marco Cecchinato $9
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $375——Over $20
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $6.5K——Under $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $1.4K——Cavaliers $107
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Alice Tubello $192——Alice Tubello $1